Exam Pass Probability Calculator
Tell it how many questions the exam has, how many you actually know, how many answer options each question offers and the pass mark. On unknowns you can say how many wrong answers you can already rule out (so a guess is among fewer choices). Optional section mode requires passing each part separately. With negative marking, the tool also says whether guessing is worth it in expectation.
Read the full guide to this tool
Results
Notes
- Without negative marking, guessing always has positive expected value — never leave a question blank.
- With penalty p and r options left, a random guess is worth 1/r − p(r−1)/r points on average. Ruling out wrong answers raises 1/r.
- Section mode multiplies the pass chances: you pass the exam only if every section clears its own pass mark.
- Equal-sections mode splits your “known” count across sections as evenly as possible — a simple planning assumption, not a claim about how marks are clustered.